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This Inflation Signal Says “Trouble in Paradise” Real-time inflation (Truflation) data is signaling sub-1% inflation, and historically CPI and PCE tend to follow it lower with a short lag. That puts pressure on hawkish policy narratives. At the same time, consumer spending is staying elevated while incomes are flat and savings have fallen to stressed levels. In this short video, Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts discuss the risk of a growing disconnect between the reflation narrative and the tr
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